Flip the U.S. House (through 2030) and open the door for Donald Trump loss in 2020
Ohio aggressively purges voter rolls and is one of the most heavily gerrymandered states in the country, which helped Donald Trump win the state in by 8 points in 2016
Most Impactful Investments
Get out the Vote Leverage
The top priorities in Ohio:
1. Elect Rich Cordray as Governor to block Republican legislative initiatives and redraw district maps in one of the most severely gerrymandered states in the country;
2. Elect Democrats for Secretary of State (Kathleen Clyde) and State Auditor (Zack Space) to stop widespread voter suppression and prepare for redistricting changes;
3. Pick up 3 State Senate seats to break veto-proof Republican supermajority in upper chamber;
4. Flip 3-5 State House seats to prevent Republican supermajority in lower chamber;
5. Reclaim 1-2 U.S. House seats to contribute to Democratic majority in 2019.
The top priorities in Ohio have a related importance: They allow Democrats a fair shot at the next redistricting/reapportionment process that will impact key elected offices through 2030. Democrats need to win the race for Governor and either the Secretary of State or State Auditor race to ensure a fair process.
This isn’t just about Ohio; overturning Republican gerrymandering in states like Ohio is critical for Democrats to win and maintain a majority in the U.S. House of Representatives over the next decade.
Republicans control all five statewide offices on the ballot in November, and they outnumber Democrats by a 3-to-1 margin in Ohio’s Congressional delegation. Republicans also have majority control of the State House and a supermajority in the State Senate.
Democrats have a strong opportunity for success in 2018 because of a combination of concern over the national political environment and developing scandals impacting Republican elected officials in state government. Republican gubernatorial candidate Mike DeWine, the current Attorney General, sits squarely in the middle of the Ohio GOP’s culture of corruption and pay-to-play mindset, and he will have trouble distancing himself from various scandals. The juxtaposition with Democrat Rich Cordray is unmistakable; his record of standing up to corporate wrongdoers on behalf of working families puts him in perfect position to speak out against Republican corruption.
Top issues in Ohio in 2018 are about economic insecurity, including wage stagnation and income disparity; health care access and affordability, particularly related to the opioid crisis; and environmental concerns about clean water supplies and transitioning away from a dying coal industry.
Resdistricting Initiative Passed on May 8th Provides Once in a Decade Opportunity
Ohio is one of the nation’s most severely gerrymandered states in favor of Republicans. Major redistricting changes in 2012 removed several Democratic incumbents from the House of Representatives. The majority of Ohio voters supported Democratic candidates for President and U.S. Senate as recently as 2012. Republican gerrymandering has allowed the GOP to control 11 of the state’s 16 Congressional seats (one seat is vacant pending a special election in August). This is a significant margin considering that Democrats need to flip 24 seats nationwide in order to take control of the House.
The Governor of Ohio has a seat on the state Redistricting Commission and will hold veto power over congressional redistricting efforts, so flipping the office back to Democratic control is vital. Democrats can ensure a fair redistricting process by winning either the lower cost races for Secretary of State or State Auditor.
Follow the $$
Individuals may give up to $12,707 to any State Race in Ohio and $38,123 to the State Party. Individual contribution limits are similar for PACs/SuperPACs. Ohio permits campaign and PAC/SuperPAC contributions from anyone older than the age of seven.
Campaign finance limits in Ohio are fairly complex compared to other states. For more details click HERE.
US House Seats
Ohio’s Congressional delegation is made up of 11 Republicans and 4 Democrats, with one vacancy to be filled on August 7. Republican-led gerrymandering makes it difficult for Democrats to compete in many districts.
OH-1: Incumbent Republican Rep. Steve Chabot is seeking a fifth term in Congress, but 35-year-old Democrat Aftab Pureval, Ohio's Clerk of Courts, has helped move this race from "Lean Republican" to a pure "Toss Up." Pureval's campaign offers an interesting off-the-radar pickup opportunity with an exciting young candidate.